Tuesday, July 2, 2024

Are You Ready for the Big One? Preparing for a Major Earthquake in the Philippines

Have you ever wondered what would happen if "The Big One" hits the Philippines? On Wondering Things, we delve into the reality of this impending earthquake and how we can prepare for it.

The Philippines is facing a looming threat known as "The Big One," a potentially devastating earthquake expected to hit Metro Manila and its surrounding areas. This catastrophic event, predicted to be caused by a movement along the West Valley Fault, could have severe consequences if adequate preparations are not made.

The Threat
The West Valley Fault, which traverses several key areas including Quezon City, Marikina, Makati, and Pasig, has a history of producing powerful earthquakes. It moves every 200 to 400 years, and its last significant activity was recorded in 1658. This indicates that the region is overdue for another major seismic event. Experts warn that a magnitude 7.2 earthquake could result in approximately 48,000 fatalities and economic losses estimated at $48 billion​ (Business World Online)​​ (Manila Standard)​.

Preparedness Efforts
In response to this imminent threat, the Philippine government, in collaboration with various agencies, has been ramping up disaster preparedness efforts. Key initiatives include:

Earthquake Drills: The government conducts regular Nationwide Simultaneous Earthquake Drills (NSED) to educate the public on emergency protocols. These drills involve the "duck, cover, and hold" exercise, simulating scenarios where electricity, water, and communication services are disrupted to mimic post-earthquake conditions​ (Philstar)​.

Infrastructure Resilience: The government is investing in retrofitting public buildings, including schools and hospitals, to withstand seismic shocks. This effort is part of a broader Seismic Risk Reduction and Resilience project funded by the World Bank, which also aims to improve the preparedness and response capabilities of key government agencies​ (Business World Online)​.

Public Awareness Campaigns: Various agencies are working to raise public awareness about the steps to take before, during, and after an earthquake. These campaigns emphasize the importance of having emergency kits, knowing evacuation routes, and understanding how to turn off utilities like gas and water to prevent secondary disasters​ (Manila Standard)​.

Potential Impact
If "The Big One" were to strike, the impact would be devastating. Experts predict that up to 35,000 deaths could occur within the first hour of the earthquake, with over 100,000 people injured. The economic fallout could reach up to 2.5 trillion pesos. Additionally, critical infrastructure such as roads, bridges, and utilities would suffer significant damage, hampering emergency response efforts and prolonging recovery times​ (Manila Standard)​.

Here are some visual aids to help illustrate the potential impact and preparedness measures:




By understanding the risks and taking proactive measures, the Philippines can better prepare for the inevitable "Big One" and mitigate its devastating effects on the population and infrastructure.

For more detailed information, you can refer to the sources from BusinessWorld Online, Philstar, and Manila Standard.